Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.206688 0.239952 0.278690 0.327591 0.388328 0.462159 0.560067
2025-02-23 0.156884 0.198461 0.252870 0.331212 0.444501 0.608136 0.874093
2025-03-02 0.127516 0.171346 0.233745 0.333047 0.495424 0.767767 1.304490
2025-03-09 0.107570 0.151166 0.217317 0.331234 0.537439 0.931830 1.866127
2025-03-16 0.092459 0.134459 0.201424 0.324275 0.566343 1.086015 2.552679
2025-03-23 0.084001 0.126201 0.196770 0.334607 0.630935 1.351694 3.850041
2025-03-30 0.074787 0.115060 0.184823 0.327708 0.656563 1.542784 5.233478
2025-04-06 0.068884 0.108530 0.179701 0.332794 0.711674 1.856261 7.814523
2025-04-13 0.062863 0.100911 0.171173 0.328421 0.741798 2.121008 11.004803
2025-04-20 0.058881 0.096401 0.167803 0.334618 0.803616 2.560298 17.457409
2025-04-27 0.055742 0.093019 0.166073 0.344197 0.880637 3.156364 30.176391
2025-05-04 0.052779 0.089594 0.163683 0.351573 0.955475 3.856053 54.719559
2025-05-11 0.050230 0.086752 0.162265 0.361726 1.048869 4.844653 117.787109
2025-05-18 0.047596 0.083457 0.159401 0.367491 1.131906 5.975442 283.170393
2025-05-25 0.045026 0.080016 0.155709 0.370098 1.205971 7.265542 820.482892
2025-06-01 0.042451 0.076301 0.150863 0.368170 1.261152 8.600097 3070.157132
2025-06-08 0.039803 0.072180 0.144525 0.360230 1.285377 9.748752 16200.434636
2025-06-15 0.038461 0.070711 0.144392 0.372106 1.418488 12.917658 NaN
2025-06-22 0.036252 0.067163 0.138666 0.364187 1.442758 14.713487 NaN
2025-06-29 0.034880 0.065331 0.137047 0.370028 1.552462 18.938148 NaN
2025-07-06 0.033141 0.062539 0.132625 0.365008 1.594852 22.267479 NaN
2025-07-13 0.032044 0.061102 0.131577 0.372124 1.724905 29.720006 NaN
2025-07-20 0.031166 0.060089 0.131530 0.383136 1.896800 42.238840 NaN